Thread Transfer
Hidden costs of LLM deployments: What your finance team needs to know
Direct API spend is just the tip of the iceberg. Here's the full cost picture finance teams need to model.
Jorgo Bardho
Founder, Thread Transfer
Your LLM invoice shows $50k in API spend, but your actual AI bill is closer to $65k. The missing $15k? Hidden costs that don't show up on provider dashboards: data transfer fees, retry overhead, infrastructure for prompt management, observability tooling, and the engineering time to maintain it all. Finance teams need the full picture to budget accurately. Here's how to calculate true Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) for LLM deployments.
The iceberg model of LLM costs
Think of LLM costs as an iceberg. The visible portion—direct API spend on tokens—is typically 70-85% of the total. The submerged portion includes:
- Data transfer and storage fees (5-10%)
- Infrastructure for orchestration, caching, and routing (3-8%)
- Observability and monitoring tools (2-5%)
- Retry and error-handling overhead (3-7%)
- Engineering and operational labor (10-15%)
Mature teams add 20-30% to their direct API costs to estimate TCO. Early-stage teams often underestimate by 50%+, leading to budget shortfalls and panicked cost-cutting mid-quarter.
Data transfer: The silent tax
If you're ingesting large documents or moving embeddings between regions, data egress fees add up fast. Cloud providers charge $0.08-$0.12 per GB for inter-region transfer. Processing 10 TB of documents per month? That's $800-$1200 on top of your API bill.
Mitigation strategies: Co-locate your storage and compute in the same region as your LLM provider. Use compression for large payloads (gzip, brotli). Cache embeddings locally instead of fetching repeatedly from cloud storage.
Retry overhead: Paying for failures
LLM APIs aren't 100% reliable. Rate limits, transient errors, and timeouts trigger retries. If your retry logic is naive (e.g., immediate retry 3x), you're paying for the same request multiple times—and still getting errors.
Industry average: 5-10% of requests fail and retry at least once. For a $50k/month bill, that's $2.5-5k burned on redundant calls.
Mitigation strategies: Implement exponential backoff with jitter. Set max retry limits (3-5). Add circuit breakers to stop hammering failed endpoints. Track retry rates and alert on anomalies—sudden spikes signal provider issues or misconfigured rate limits.
Infrastructure: Orchestration and middleware
Production LLM systems require infrastructure: API gateways, prompt template managers, caching layers, routing logic, queue workers for async processing. Whether you build or buy, there's a cost.
Build costs: Engineering time (0.5-2 FTE), hosting ($500-2000/month for compute/DB), maintenance.
Buy costs: SaaS tools like LangSmith, Helicone, or Portkey run $500-5000/month depending on volume and feature tier.
Mitigation strategies: Start with lightweight SaaS tools to defer build costs. As volume grows, evaluate build vs. buy based on margin pressure. Many teams hit a crossover point at $100k/month API spend where custom infrastructure pays for itself.
Observability: You can't improve what you don't measure
To optimize LLM costs, you need granular telemetry: per-endpoint token counts, latency distributions, error rates, model routing decisions. Observability tools (Datadog, Langfuse, Arize) cost $1k-10k/month for enterprise-grade features.
Without observability, you're flying blind—teams waste weeks debugging cost spikes that proper monitoring would catch in hours.
Mitigation strategies: Instrument at the prompt level, not just the endpoint level. Tag requests with metadata (user ID, feature flag, model version) so you can slice costs by dimension. Set up automated cost anomaly detection—alert on 20%+ day-over-day increases.
Engineering time: The biggest hidden cost
LLM systems are complex. Prompt engineering, model evaluation, integration maintenance, incident response—these tasks consume 0.5-2 FTE on average. At $150k fully-loaded cost per engineer, that's $75k-300k annually.
Early-stage teams underestimate this because the first few prompts are simple. But as the system grows—more endpoints, more edge cases, more prompt versions—complexity explodes.
Mitigation strategies: Invest in tooling that reduces manual work: automated prompt testing, version-controlled prompt libraries, CI/CD for deployment. Treat prompts like code—peer review, automated tests, rollback strategies.
How to track hidden costs
Build a TCO dashboard that aggregates:
- Direct API spend (from provider invoices)
- Infrastructure costs (cloud compute, DB, SaaS tools)
- Data transfer fees (from cloud provider bills)
- Engineering time (track via project codes or retros)
- Retry and error overhead (derive from observability logs)
Update monthly. Share with finance and product. Use it to justify optimization investments—if you're spending $10k/month on retries, a $5k investment in smarter retry logic pays for itself in 15 days.
TCO calculation example
Scenario: Mid-sized SaaS company, customer support AI.
- Direct API spend: $40k/month
- Data transfer (S3 → API, cross-region): $3k/month
- Infrastructure (LangSmith + queue workers): $2k/month
- Retry overhead (8% of API spend): $3.2k/month
- Observability (Datadog): $1.5k/month
- Engineering (1 FTE @ $12.5k/month): $12.5k/month
Total TCO: $62.2k/month. True cost per dollar of API spend: $1.55. Finance was budgeting $45k/month. Without this breakdown, they'd be off by 38%.
When to revisit TCO
Recalculate quarterly or when:
- API volume grows 50%+
- You add new models or providers
- Infrastructure investments (new caching layer, routing logic)
- Engineering headcount changes
Use TCO trends to justify optimization projects. If hidden costs are growing faster than direct costs, that's a signal to invest in automation and tooling.
Closing thoughts
Direct API spend is just the starting point. To budget accurately and optimize effectively, you need the full TCO picture. Track hidden costs religiously, automate where possible, and use the data to prioritize investments. Teams that master TCO modeling make better build-vs-buy decisions and avoid the budget surprises that tank AI initiatives.
Want a TCO spreadsheet template or help modeling your specific workload? Get in touch.
Learn more: How it works · Why bundles beat raw thread history